After today's election Pennsylvania will no longer be considered a "Blue State" on the nation's political landscape. In all of my time covering politics, I have to say that the results of today's election are the easiest outcomes to predict in our nation's history. Yes folks today is going to be a monumentous GOP party landslide for sure.
This is contrary to various polling firms and national media personalities who seem to be desperately trying to convince the American People that various races around the country are tightening. There is no doubt that the American People are angry and this political reality will become apparent in today's elections results. Obviousley, President Obama and the Congressional Democrats overreached after taking control of Washington in 2008. Liberal Democrats pushed through their agenda from the perspective that only they know what is best for the American People instead of reaching out to republicans and listening to the concerns of their constituents. This by far was their fatal mistake and their group think/narcissistic approach to governing will cost them tremendously today.
I predict nationally that Republicans will gain close to 70 seats in the House of Representatives and come within 2 seats of taking over the majority in the Senate. I believe that there is a hidden 5% support for Republican candidates not being reported in various polls when you take in consideration the way specific voting demographics are breaking for republican candidates. Look at the number of independents in various polls who now identify themselves as conservative who have been influenced the most by the Tea Party movement. America's business calls made up of both democratic and republican voters and who have been negatively impacted the most by President Obama's failed economic policies are breaking hard for GOP candidates.
With these factors in play there is no doubt the GOP wave is coming. You also have to consider that democratic voters who voted for Hillary Clinton in the Democratic Presidential Primary election are more likely to vote for the GOP candidate or simply stay home and sit out the election. So any race that shows a Republican down by five percentage points among likely voters has a high probability to be actually a win for republicans
Pennsylvania Election Predictions:
Pennsylvania Governor Race: Corbett 54, Onorato 46
Result: Corbett 54.5, Onorato 45.5
Pennsylvania Sentate Race: Toomey 53, Sestak 47
Result: Toomey 51, Sestak 49
Congressional District 3: Kathleen Dahlkemper (D) 48, Mike Kelly (R) 50
Result: Kathleen Dahlkemper (D) 44.6, Mike Kelly (R) 55.4
Congressional District 4: Jason Altmire (D) 49.6, Keith J. Rothfus (R) 50.4
Result: Jason Altmire (D) 50.9.6, Keith J. Rothfus (R) 49.1
Congressional District 6: Jim Gerlach (R) 55, Manan Trivedi (D) 45
Result: Jim Gerlach (R) 57, Manan Trivedi (D) 43
Congressional District 7: Patrick L. Meehan (R) 52, Bryan Lentz (D) 48
Result: Patrick L. Meehan (R) 55, Bryan Lentz (D) 43.9
Congressional District 8: Patrick J. Murphy (D) 49, Michael G. Fitzpatrick (R) 51
Result: Patrick J. Murphy (D) 46.3, Michael G. Fitzpatrick (R) 53.7
Congressional District 10: Chris Carney (D) 48.5, Tom Marino (R) 49.9
Result: Chris Carney (D) 44.9, Tom Marino (R) 55.1
Congressional District 11: Paul E. Kanjorski (D) 48.4, Louis J. Barletta (R) 51.6
Result: Paul E. Kanjorski (D) 45.5, Louis J. Barletta (R) 54.6
Congressional District 12: Mark Critz (D) 51, Tim Burns (R) 49
Result: Mark Critz (D) 50.8, Tim Burns (R) 49.2
Congressional District 13: Allyson Schwartz (D) 49, Dee Adcock (R) 51
Result: Allyson Schwartz (D) 56.4, Dee Adcock (R) 43.6
Congressional District 15: Charlie Dent (R) 53, John Callahan (D) 47
Result: Charlie Dent (R) 53.5, John Callahan (D) 39
Also Republicans will win back control of the state house by gaining 7 to 9 seats
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